( )是预测将来某一时期的平均预测值的一种方法。该方法按对过去若干历史数据求算术平均数，并把该数据作为以后时期的预测值。

A．简单移动平均法

B．指数平滑法

C．趋势外推法

D．因果分析法

Many students do not like tostudy history(历史)．They say that there are (41) many names and dates to (42) ．But if we do not know about the (43) ，we can not understand the present well．For example，if we wish to know how men (44) to use fire，we have to know what men did (45) the past to travel at night or to keep themselves (46) in cold nights．Only a study of history will make US realize(意识到) (47) everything we do today is the result of what (48) people did in the past．

[A] read [B] make [C] write

As we (49) history，we learn many interesting (50) ．History helps US understand our present life better．