问题 单项选择题

某商品流通企业既经营生产资料又经营生活资料,经营的商品主要有汽车、钢材、水泥、轮胎、空调、彩电、电脑、服装、鞋、粮食、食盐、疏菜、牙膏、冷饮等。该企业经常根据商品的供求形态来选择预测方法,并对企业经营的商品进行预测。

该企业近11年的汽车销售量如下表所示。

时间(年) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
实际销售量(辆) 450 500 550 540 570 600 630 670 690 720 750
运用一次指数平滑法预测,已知第11年的销售量预测值F11=740,取a=0.8,则第12年的销售量预测值为( )辆。

A.738

B.748

C.750

D.758

答案

参考答案:B

解析:8×750+(1-0.8)×740=748辆。

问答题
完形填空
完形填空(共20小题,每小题1.5分,满分30分)
阅读下面短文,掌握其大意,然后从36---55所给的四个选项(A、B、C、D)中,选出最佳选项。
The first day of school our professor introduced himself and challenged us to get to know a new classmate. I stood up to 36  when a gentle hand   37   my shoulder. I turned around to find a wrinkled, little old lady looking up at me with a  38  .
She said, “Hi. My name is Rose. I’m eighty-seven years old. Can I give you a 39  ?” I laughed and enthusiastically responded, “Of course you may!” and she gave me a giant squeeze (an act of pressing).
“Why are you in college at such a young,    40  age ?”I asked. “I always dreamed of having a  41   experience and now I’m getting   42  !” she told me.
Later, we became close friends. Every day we would leave class together and she   43   her wisdom and  44   with me. Over the course of the year, Rose became a (an)    45  icon(偶像) and she easily made friends wherever she went.
At the  46  of the term we invited Rose to speak at our football banquet. I’ll never forget what she taught us. When she was  47  , frustrated and a little embarrassed, she cleared her  48  and said, “We do not stop playing because we are old; we  49  old because we stop playing. There are only two secrets to staying   50  , being happy, and achieving success. You have to laugh and find 51   every day. You’ve got to have a dream. When you lose your dreams, you  52  .”
One week after graduation Rose died   53   in her sleep. Many college students attended her funeral in tribute to(悼念)the wonderful woman who taught us by    54  that it’s never too late  to 55  all you can possibly be.
小题1:
A.look around B.look back C.look downD.look up
小题2:
A.hitB.feltC.touchedD.knocked
小题3:
A.surpriseB.smileC.wonderD.pleasure
小题4:
A.hand B.welcomeC.hugD.gift
小题5:
A.innocentB.goldenC.happy D.valuable
小题6:
A.collegeB.junior high school C.senior high school D.primary school
小题7:
A.itB.thatC.oneD.them
小题8: A. shared         B. told               C. learned            D. debated
小题9:
A.course B.experienceC.degreeD.happiness
小题10:
A.old B.great C.campusD.outgoing
小题11:
A.endB.middleC.beginningD.top
小题12:
A.invitedB.appearingC.speakingD.introduced
小题13:
A.noseB.faceC.throatD.eyes
小题14:
A.look B.proveC.growD.stay
小题15:
A.healthy B.youngC.cheerfulD.rich
小题16:
A.humorB.goals C.dreamsD.jokes
小题17:
A.loseB.failC.dieD.disappoint
小题18:
A.hopefullyB.peacefullyC.fortunatelyD.bitterly
小题19:
A.experienceB.exampleC.pleasureD.courage
小题20:
A.be B.achieve C.gainD.do