问题 问答题 简答题

销售预测的方法

答案

参考答案:

销售预测包括定性预测和定量预测两种方法。

定性预测包括:①购买者意见调查法,②经理意见法、③销售人员意见法、④专家意见法。

定量分析包括:①市场试销法、②时间序列分析法、③回归和相关分析法、④模拟分析法。

阅读理解

     The Internationa1 Space Station allows astronauts to live in space for extended amounts of time,

enabling them to explore the outside universe al1d conduct many experiments. However, nothing like that

exists for our oceans, and thanks to the high water pressure, ocean researchers are able to explore what

lies undersea for very short periods of time.

     They are therefore never able to fully explore the deep inside areas of our oceans. However, if

French architect Jacques Rougerie has his way, that will change soon.

     Jacques has designed a ship that will allow researchers to spend a long period of time observing the

sea life and conducting experiments. The huge l67ft. ship, named' SeaOrbiter', consists of two areas-one

above the water where the scientists and crew will live, and a lower pressurized deck (甲板), where

scientists will be able to spend as much time as they wish. Since it is powered by sea currents and wind,

he expects it to drift (漂流) along the oceans slowly, taking about two years to circumvent the globe.

     Jacques will make their life as comfortable as possible in the ship. Besides being equipped with the

latest sailing tools and communication equipment, the ship will also have a gym, a television and a DVD

player! And these guys will not be eating freeze-dried food like astronauts. Instead, Jacques, an

accomplished chef, plans on cooking them delicious meals every day.

     The biggest problem to this giant ship is the cost, which is expected to be over $500 million-per ship!

However, Jacques, who strongly believes that the secrets of our oceans may be the key to solving global

warming and a vital supply for food and medicine in the future, is confident he will be able to convince

governments all over the world to help out, and expects to start construction on not one, but four or five

of these amazing ships soon!

1. Why can't ocean researchers explore the deep oceans for a long time?

A. Because they can't stand the high water pressure.

B. Because it's too cold in deep ocean.

C. Because time for experiments is too limited.

D. Because it's dangerous to observe the sea life.

2. The underlined word "circumvent" probably means      .

A. fly away    

B. get around    

C. travel through    

D. move into

3. From the fourth paragraph we can learn that      .

A. Jacques intends to design the ship mainly for sightseeing and traveling

B. living a comfortable life helps to do the ocean research quickly

C. it's much more expensive to eat freeze-dried food

D. researchers on Jacques'ship will live more comfortably than astronauts

4. In Jacques' opinion, which of the following is not the purpose of the undersea research?

A. To find supply for food in the future.

B. To find supply for medicine in the future.

C. To draw governments' attention to the construction of the ship.

D. To solve the global warming.

5. Which of the fol1owing would be the best title for the text?

A. Sea Orbite-the ship of the future  

B. A new way to explore the deep oceans

C. A great architect-Jacques Rougerie 

D. Travel around the globe in Sea Orbiter

阅读理解与欣赏

(9分,每小题3分)阅读下面的文言文,完成后面题目。

许逵,字汝登,固始人。正德三年进士。长身巨口,猿臂燕颔,沈静有谋略。授乐陵知县。六年春,流贼刘七等屠城邑,杀长吏。诸州县率闭城守,或弃城遁,或遗之刍粟弓马,乞贼毋攻。逵之官,慨然为战守计。县初无城,督民版筑,不逾月,城成。令民屋外筑墙,墙高过帘,启圭窦①,才容人。家选一壮者执刃伺窦内,余皆入队伍,日视旗为号,违者军法从事。又募死士伏巷中,洞开城门。贼果至,旗举伏发,窦中人皆出,贼大惊窜,斩获无遗。后数犯,数却之,遂相戒不敢近。事闻,进秩二等。时知县能抗贼者,益都则牛鸾,郯城则唐龙,汶上则左经,浚则陈滞,亦所当贼少。而逵屡御大贼有功,遂与鸾俱超擢兵备佥事。逵驻武定州,州城圮濠平,不能限牛马。逵筑城凿池,设楼橹,置巡卒。明年五月,贼杨寡妇以千骑犯濰县,指挥乔刚御之,贼少却。逵追败之高苑,令指挥张勋邀之沧州,先后俘斩二百七十余人。未几,贼别部掠德平,逵尽歼之,成名大著。十二年迁江西副使。时宸濠党暴横,逵以法痛绳之。尝言于孙燧日:“宁王敢为暴者,恃权臣也;权臣左右之者,贪重贿也。重贿由于盗薮④,今惟翦盗则贿息,贿息则党孤。”燧深然之,每事辄与密议。及宸濠缚燧,逵争之。宸濠素忌逵,问许副使何言,逵日:“副使惟赤心耳!”宸濠怒日:“我不能杀汝邪?”逵骂日:“汝能杀我,天子能杀汝。汝反贼,万段磔汝,汝悔何及!”宸濠大怒,并缚之,曳出斫其颈,屹不动。贼众共推抑令跪,卒不能,遂死,年三十六。初,逵以文天祥集贻其友给事中张汉卿而无书。汉卿语人日:“宁邸必反,汝登其为文山⑤乎?”逵父家居,闻江西有变,杀都御史及副使,即为位,易服哭。张汉卿对人说:“宁王府是必然要叛乱的,汝登恐怕也要成为文天祥了吧?”许逵的父亲住家里,听说江西发生事变,都御使和副使被杀害,马上就立了牌位,换了丧服,为许逵哭悼。嘉靖元年诏逵死事尤烈,改赠逵礼部尚书,进荫指挥佥事。

(节选自《明史•列传第一百七十七•忠义》)

【注】①圭窭:在墙上开的“圭”字形门洞,便于堵上亦便于打开,较隐秘。②宸濠:即时任宁王的朱宸濠,后作乱被诛。③孙燧:时任都御史兼江西巡抚,因反对朱宸濠叛乱,与许奎一同遇害。④薮:聚集。⑤文山:文天祥号。

小题1:对下列句子中加点词的解释,不正确的一项是

A.或遗之粟弓马刍:喂牲畜的草料

B.县初无城,督民版筑版筑:筑土墙

C.权臣左右之者,贪重贿也左右:支配,操纵

D.贼众共推令跪抑:按,压小题2:许奎死后谥号“忠节”。以下各组句子巾,全都体现的一组是:

①长身巨口,猿臂燕颔,沈静有谋略   ②逵之官,慨然为战守计

③时宸濠党暴横,逵以法痛绳之   ④燧深然之,每事辄与密议

⑤逵日:“副使惟赤心耳!”   ⑥即为位,易服哭

A.①③⑤

B.②④⑥

C.①④⑥

D.②③⑤小题3:下面对原文有关内容的概括和分析,不正确的一项是

A.许逵忠于职守且有谋略。任乐陵知县和任兵备佥事驻守武定州时,他都率领当地军民,采取积极措施备战,打败了前来侵扰的贼寇。

B.在针对宁王朱宸濠的斗争中,许逵有胆有识。他对暴横的宁王党徒严厉制裁,并向巡抚孙燧提议:对付宁王为暴,关键是打击贿赂。

C.当朱宸濠发动叛乱并绑缚孙燧时,许逵挺身而出作抗争。朱宸濠威胁许逵,许逵非但不屈服,还斥骂宸濠是反贼,将受严惩。因而许逵与孙燧一同遇害。

D.知子莫若父。许逵父亲一听闻江西发生事变、都御使和副使均被杀的消息,就知道儿子许逵一定由于不肯苟且、坚贞不屈而殒命了。小题4:把第1卷文言文阅读材料中画横线的句子翻译成现代汉语。(每句5分,共10分)

(1)后数犯,数却之,遂相戒不敢近。事闻,进秩二等。

(2)汉卿语人日:“宁邸必反,汝登其为文山乎?”