问题
单项选择题
An analyst at a bank concludes that the probability of default for a one-year, single-payment loan is 10.0 percent, and the bank will recover nothing if the loan defaults. The current risk-free rate of return is 3.5 percent. The minimum yieldto-maturity and minimum default risk premium, respectively, that the bank should demand on the loan are closest to:()
A.
B.
C.
答案
参考答案:C
解析:
该笔贷款对于银行来讲,有10%的可能性会发生客户违约,有90%的可能性可以在一年后获得正常的贷款收益,如果客户违约,则银行的这笔贷款的收益率为-100%(注意不是零,因为本金也损失了),如果客户正常还贷,则银行的这笔贷款的收益率为到期收益率(YTM),他们的平均收益率至少要大于或等于无风险收益率。持有到期收益率(YTM)等于无风险收益率加上违约风险溢价。
10%×(-100%)+90%×YTM≥3.5%,得出最小的YTM=15%。
所以,最小违约风险溢价=15%-3.5%=11.5%。