结合给定资料。以你认为增进干群关系的最重要因素为话题，自选角度，自拟题目，写一篇议论文。 [要求] 观点鲜明，主题明确，分析合理，论述深刻，语言流畅，字数不少于800字。

In a certain animal population, for each of the first 3 months of life, the probability that an animal will die during that month is . For a group of 200 newborn members of the population, approximately how many would be expected to survive the first 3 months of life ？