参考答案：对

解析：[听力原文]Mahmoud Abbas, who opposes continuing violence against Israel, declared victory tonight in the election for a new president of the Palestinian Authority after two exit polls showed him winning by a large margin.

[分析]： 推理判断题。 根据原文，Mahmoud Abbas在大选中获得胜利，而且two exit polls showed him winning by a large margin 由此可知，民意测验已表明他将以绝对优势胜出，因此可推测Mahmoud Abbas的胜利已在预料之中。题干的说法与原文意思相符，是正确的。[解题关键] 能够根据上下文理解语义，并作简单推测。