问题 单项选择题

德尔菲法的工作步骤有五步:①组成专家小组;②初步预测;③反馈修正;④准备资料;⑤确定预测值。其顺序是()。

A.①④②⑤③

B.②④①③⑤

C.①④②③⑤

D.②④①⑤③

答案

参考答案:C

解析:德尔菲法是以匿名方式通过几轮函询征求专家的意见,预测组织小组对每一轮的意见进行汇总整理后作为参考再发送给各位专家,供他们分析判断,以提出新的论证。德尔菲法的程序为:①组成专家小组;②准备资料;③初步预测;④反馈修正;⑤确定预测值。

单项选择题
阅读理解

阅读理解。

     Howling is a behavior commonly observed among a wolf pack. As pack animals, wolves work together

to hunt and rely on howling as an important means of communication among each other. There are different

explanations of a wolf's howl and it appears that there may be more to discover.

     One theory is that wolves howl to bond better together. It's almost as if howling together helps the pack

stay together. Perhaps something is similar to people feeling a sense of involvement with each other when

singing a song together. But this theory may be wrong, explains Fred H. Harington, a professor who studies

wolf behavior.

     Indeed, there have been times when wolves have been seen one moment howling in a chorus, and the

next, quarreling among each other. It appears that usually the lowest-ranking members of the pack may

actually be "punished" for joining in the chorus at times. So is howling a way to strengthen a social bond or

just a way to reconfirm status among its members? - Why do wolves howl for sure?

     What is clear, however, is that howling is often used among packmates to locate each other. Hunting

grounds are distant and it happens that wolves may separate from one another at times. When this happens,

howling appears to be an excellent means of gathering.

     Howling, interestingly, is a contagious behavior. When one wolf starts to howl, very likely others will

follow. This is often seen to occur in the morning, as if wolves were doing some sort of "roll call" where

wolves all howl together to report their presence.

1. What the possible similarity between wolves' howling together and human's singing in chorus?

A. The act of calling each other.

B. the sense of accomplishment.

C. The act of hunting for something.

D. The sense of belonging to a group.

2. Why does Harrington think the "social bond" theory may be wrong?

A. Wolves separate from each other after howling.

B. Wolves tend to protect their hunting grounds.

C. Wolves sometimes have quarrels after howling together.

D. Wolves of low rank are encouraged to join in the chorus.

3. Researchers are sure that wolves often howl to _____.

A. show their ranks

B. find their companions

C. report the missing ones

D. express their loneliness

4. "Howling… is a contagious behavior" (in the last paragraph) means _____.

A. howling is a signal for hunting

B. howling is a way of communication

C. howling often occurs in the morning

D. howling spreads from one to another