Mr. B needs to report to the management of L Group.regarding the value analysis (价值分) of Company Y. As the assistant of Mr.B, you have been required by Mr.B to prepare a draft of the analysis. Mr.B has asked you to follow the following steps in drafting the analysis:(1) what does WACC(加权平均资本成本) stand for and what are the factors that would increase or decrease WACC;(2) calculate the equity value (股权价值)of Company Y with the information provided in Table 6-1;showing the step-by-step calculation process;(3) compare the calculated equity value and the stock price (value is over-or under-estimated (股价) to conclude whether the calculated equity assuming that the stock price represents a fair value);(4) what are the reasons that may cause the over-or under-estimation in equity value.
参考答案:
Answers :
(1) WACC stands for Weighted Average Cost of Capital. It may be affected by the following factors: the interest.rate on the market, market risk premium, tax rate, capital structure, dividend policy and investment policy.
(2) Present value of the forecast period =10×0.8929 +12×0.7972 +14.4×0.7118 +17.28×0.6355 +20.74×0.5674 = Euro 51.49 million
Present value of the terminal cash flow= 20.74×(1+5% )/(12%- 5% ) ×0.5674 =Euro 176.52 million
Enterprise value = 51.49+176. 52 = Euro 228.01 million
Equity value.= 228.01-30 = Euro 198.01 million
(3) Calculated equity value per share =198.01÷10 =19.80 Euro/share
As it is higher than the stock price (15 Euro/share),the calculated equity value is over-estimated.
(4) The over-estimation of the equity value might be a result of the following reasons: over-stated cash flow forecast, over-estimated growth rate for terminal cash flow, a WACC that is too low, under-stated net debt.